Mercyhurst
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 81.9916Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 9-17 214 H Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 2-10, 85.1) 13-14 217 H Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 10- 8 222 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 11-14 227 A Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 6-12 303 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 87.6) 9-12 307 H Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 15-12 314 A Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 6-14 321 H VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 13-19 328 A Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 6- 7 404 A LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 6-25 411 H Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 5-18 418 H Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 6-11 425 A Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Bellarmine 9-17 -8 -6 -1.50
214 H Massachusetts-Lowell 13-14 -1 -2 0.68
217 H Canisius 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.97
222 A Queens 11-14 -3 -5 1.70
227 A Binghamton 6-12 -6 -6 -0.15
303 H St Bonaventure 9-12 -3 -4 1.19
307 H Hampton 15-12 3 4 -1.06
314 A Cleveland State 6-14 -8 -7 0.00
321 H VMI 13-19 -6 -4 - -2.36
328 A Wagner 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.64
404 A LIU 6-25 -19 -9 0.00
411 H Robert Morris 5-18 -13 -8 0.00
418 H Detroit Mercy 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.67
425 A Le Moyne 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H VMI 13-19 -6 -4 - -2.36 418 H Detroit Mercy 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.67 425 A Le Moyne 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Canisius 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.97 328 A Wagner 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 9-17 -11.03 9.57 -1.38 1.02 -6.34
3 H Massachusetts- ( 2-10, 85.1) 13-14 -14.85 5.75 -1.38 1.02 -8.29
3 H Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 10- 8 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 1.02 9.53
3 A Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 11-14 -14.59 6.01 1.38 1.02 -6.75
3 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 6-12 -13.44 7.16 1.38 1.02 -6.16
3 H St Bonaventure ( 4-10, 87.6) 9-12 -12.34 8.26 -1.38 1.02 -7.01
3 H Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 15-12 -20.60 1.00 -1.38 1.02 -0.77
3 A Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 6-14 -12.07 8.53 1.38 1.02 -5.47
3 H VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 13-19 -12.89 7.71 -1.38 1.02 -7.29
3 A Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 6- 7 -15.64 4.95 1.38 1.02 -7.29
3 A LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 6-25 -10.51 10.09 1.38 1.02 -4.67
3 H Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 5-18 -8.42 12.18 -1.38 1.02 -5.00
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 6-11 -14.20 6.40 -1.38 1.02 -7.96
3 A Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 7-15 -14.73 5.87 1.38 1.02 -6.83
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-70.31
|
winning pts = 8.7638 losing points = -79.0742
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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